56.6% win prob
43.4%
DraftKings
-110
52.4% implied
DraftKings
-110
52.4% implied
Events
event Model predictions & accuracy · UFC fight cards
Signal Key
Correct Model hit
Failed Model miss
Upset Correct underdog call
Draw Draw
No Contest NC
Update Error Stale card row
Title Fight
Bantamweight
Main Card
52.6% win prob
47.4%
DraftKings
-162
61.8% implied
DraftKings
+136
42.4% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Petr Yan
-162 (61.8%)
Favorite
Merab Dvalishvili
+136 (42.4%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Flyweight
Main Card
51.7% win prob
48.3%
DraftKings
-112
52.8% implied
DraftKings
-108
51.9% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Lone’er Kavanagh
-112 (52.8%)
Favorite
Ramazan Temirov
-108 (51.9%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Heavyweight
Main Card
51.7% win prob
48.3%
DraftKings
-120
54.5% implied
DraftKings
+100
50.0% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Alexander Volkov
-120 (54.5%)
Favorite
Rizvan Kuniev
+100 (50.0%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Featherweight
Main Card
41.4%
win prob 58.6%
DraftKings
-115
53.5% implied
DraftKings
-105
51.2% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Aaron Pico
-115 (53.5%)
Favorite
Losene Keita
-105 (51.2%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Light Heavyweight
Prelims
46.1%
win prob 53.9%
DraftKings
-218
68.6% implied
DraftKings
+180
35.7% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Azamat Murzakanov
-218 (68.6%)
Favorite
Dominick Reyes
+180 (35.7%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Light Heavyweight
Prelims
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
18.2%
win prob 81.8%
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
DraftKings
+360
21.7% implied
DraftKings
-470
82.5% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Nikita Krylov
+360 (21.7%)
Underdog
Abdul Rakhman Yakhyaev
-470 (82.5%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Middleweight
Prelims
54.9% win prob
45.1%
DraftKings
-122
55.0% implied
DraftKings
+102
49.5% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Abus Magomedov
-122 (55.0%)
Favorite
Cam Rowston
+102 (49.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Lightweight
Prelims
53.2% win prob
46.8%
DraftKings
-122
55.0% implied
DraftKings
+102
49.5% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Grant Dawson
-122 (55.0%)
Favorite
Nurullo Aliev
+102 (49.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Bantamweight
Early Prelims
Upcoming
Colby Thicknesse
Prediction unavailable
Asaf Chopurov
Prediction unavailable
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Middleweight
Early Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Main Event
Lightweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Featherweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Middleweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Featherweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Middleweight
Prelims
Upcoming
Nick Klein
Prediction unavailable
Joseph Kropschot
Prediction unavailable
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Main Event
Welterweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Bantamweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
Main Card
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
76.3% win prob
23.7%
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
Market pending
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Light Heavyweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Middleweight
Main Card
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
78.1% win prob
21.9%
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
Market pending
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Heavyweight
Prelims
Upcoming
Gabriel Lorenco
Prediction unavailable
Alvin Hines
Prediction unavailable
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Featherweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Featherweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Featherweight
Prelims
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
78.6% win prob
21.4%
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
Market pending
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Main Event
Title Fight
Heavyweight
Main Card
33.8%
win prob 66.2%
DraftKings
-250
71.4% implied
DraftKings
+205
32.8% implied
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
DraftKings
Ciryl Gane
-250 (71.4%)
Favorite
Josh Hokit
+205 (32.8%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Mon 9:40 AM ET
Middleweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Flyweight
Main Card
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Lightweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Lightweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Middleweight
Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Bantamweight
Early Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Lightweight
Early Prelims
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Main Event
Light Heavyweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Featherweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Lightweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Middleweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Heavyweight
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
22.6%
win prob 77.4%
LIMITED UFC SAMPLE
One or both fighters has fewer than 5 UFC bouts — treat as directional.
Market pending
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Welterweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Bantamweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Flyweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Flyweight
DraftKings
DraftKings line pending
Lines not yet posted
Main Event
Welterweight
TKO
Failed
33.4%
win prob 66.6%
Moneyline
-135
57.4% implied
Moneyline
+114
46.7% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Mike Malott
via TKO
Round 2, 2:32
DraftKings
Mike Malott
-135 (57.4%)
Favorite
Joaquin Buckley
+114 (46.7%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Lightweight
TKO
▲
Cristian Perez
Prediction unavailable
Kyle Nelson
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-345
77.5% implied
Moneyline
+275
26.7% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Cristian Perez
via TKO
Round 1, 0:27
DraftKings
Cristian Perez
-345 (77.5%)
Favorite
Kyle Nelson
+275 (26.7%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Middleweight
TKO
Failed
30.8%
win prob 69.2%
Moneyline
+160
38.5% implied
Moneyline
-192
65.8% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Marc-Andre Barriault
via TKO
Round 1, 4:28
DraftKings
Marc-Andre Barriault
+160 (38.5%)
Underdog
Kyle Daukaus
-192 (65.8%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Bantamweight
SUB
▲
Timmy Cuamba
Prediction unavailable
Louis Jourdain
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
+142
41.3% implied
Moneyline
-170
63.0% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Timmy Cuamba
via SUB
Round 2, 2:48
DraftKings
Timmy Cuamba
+142 (41.3%)
Underdog
Louis Jourdain
-170 (63.0%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Lightweight
TKO
Correct
51.5% win prob
48.5%
Moneyline
-285
74.0% implied
Moneyline
+230
30.3% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Mandel Nallo
via TKO
Round 2, 0:47
DraftKings
Mandel Nallo
-285 (74.0%)
Favorite
Nate Landwehr
+230 (30.3%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Heavyweight
TKO
Upset
53.6% win prob
46.4%
Moneyline
+185
35.1% implied
Moneyline
-225
69.2% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Tanner Boser
via TKO
Round 3, 4:26
DraftKings
Tanner Boser
+185 (35.1%)
Underdog
Jhonata Diniz
-225 (69.2%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Middleweight
SUB
▲
Nick Galanti
Prediction unavailable
Julien Leblanc
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-700
87.5% implied
Moneyline
+500
16.7% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Nick Galanti
via SUB
Round 1, 1:26
DraftKings
Nick Galanti
-700 (87.5%)
Favorite
Julien Leblanc
+500 (16.7%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Heavyweight
TKO
▲
Joel Faglier
Prediction unavailable
Javad Mahjoub
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-125
55.6% implied
Moneyline
+105
48.8% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Joel Faglier
via TKO
Round 2, 2:11
DraftKings
Joel Faglier
-125 (55.6%)
Favorite
Javad Mahjoub
+105 (48.8%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Bantamweight
SUB
Correct
58.7% win prob
41.3%
Moneyline
-162
61.8% implied
Moneyline
+136
42.4% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
Steven Koslow
via SUB
Round 3, 4:31
DraftKings
Steven Koslow
-162 (61.8%)
Favorite
Chad Anheliger
+136 (42.4%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Bantamweight
SUB
▲
SuYoung You
Prediction unavailable
Cody Chovancek
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
+110
47.6% implied
Moneyline
-130
56.5% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Final Result
SuYoung You
via SUB
Round 3, 4:19
DraftKings
SuYoung You
+110 (47.6%)
Underdog
Cody Chovancek
-130 (56.5%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 16, 2026 9:40 AM ET
Main Event
Middleweight
SUB
Failed
41.8%
win prob 58.2%
Moneyline
-125
55.6% implied
Moneyline
+105
48.8% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Brendan Allen
via SUB
Round 5, 2:46
DraftKings
Brendan Allen
-125 (55.6%)
Favorite
Christian Leroy Duncan
+105 (48.8%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Lightweight
UD
Failed
29.6%
win prob 70.4%
Moneyline
+154
39.4% implied
Moneyline
-185
64.9% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Jai Herbert
via UD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Jai Herbert
+154 (39.4%)
Underdog
Matheus Camilo
-185 (64.9%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Featherweight
TKO
Correct
58.6% win prob
41.4%
Moneyline
-142
58.7% implied
Moneyline
+120
45.5% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Andre Fili
via TKO
Round 2, 0:22
DraftKings
Andre Fili
-142 (58.7%)
Favorite
Kai Kamaka
+120 (45.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Bantamweight
TKO
Upset
64.8% win prob
35.2%
Moneyline
+185
35.1% implied
Moneyline
-225
69.2% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Otari Tanzilovi
via TKO
Round 2, 2:39
DraftKings
Otari Tanzilovi
+185 (35.1%)
Underdog
Malcolm Wellmaker
-225 (69.2%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Light Heavyweight
TKO
Correct
81.9% win prob
18.1%
Moneyline
-298
74.9% implied
Moneyline
+240
29.4% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Julius Walker
via TKO
Round 2, 3:35
DraftKings
Julius Walker
-298 (74.9%)
Favorite
Gerald Meerschaert
+240 (29.4%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Lightweight
TKO
Failed
28.9%
win prob 71.1%
Moneyline
-125
55.6% implied
Moneyline
+105
48.8% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Francisco Prado
via TKO
Round 1, 4:23
DraftKings
Francisco Prado
-125 (55.6%)
Favorite
Ismael Bonfim
+105 (48.8%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Welterweight
TKO
Failed
38.7%
win prob 61.3%
Moneyline
+120
45.5% implied
Moneyline
-142
58.7% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Niko Price
via TKO
Round 1, 1:58
DraftKings
Niko Price
+120 (45.5%)
Underdog
Leon Shahbazyan
-142 (58.7%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Light Heavyweight
SUB
Failed
23.7%
win prob 76.3%
Moneyline
+280
26.3% implied
Moneyline
-355
78.0% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Brendson Ribeiro
via SUB
Round 1, 1:49
DraftKings
Brendson Ribeiro
+280 (26.3%)
Underdog
Felipe Franco
-355 (78.0%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Heavyweight
TKO
Failed
31.9%
win prob 68.1%
Moneyline
+275
26.7% implied
Moneyline
-345
77.5% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Final Result
Allen Frye Jr.
via TKO
Round 1, 2:59
DraftKings
Allen Frye Jr.
+275 (26.7%)
Underdog
RJ Harris
-345 (77.5%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 9, 2026 9:39 AM ET
Main Event
Bantamweight
TKO
Correct
76.4% win prob
23.6%
Moneyline
-750
88.2% implied
Moneyline
+525
16.0% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Payton Talbott
via TKO
Round 1, 2:09
DraftKings
Payton Talbott
-750 (88.2%)
Favorite
Deiveson Figueiredo
+525 (16.0%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Lightweight
TKO
Correct
50.7% win prob
49.3%
Moneyline
-230
69.7% implied
Moneyline
+190
34.5% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Esteban Ribovics
via TKO
Round 1, 4:08
DraftKings
Esteban Ribovics
-230 (69.7%)
Favorite
King Green
+190 (34.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Welterweight
UD
▲
Roberto Soldic
Prediction unavailable
Khaos Williams
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-238
70.4% implied
Moneyline
+195
33.9% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Roberto Soldic
via UD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Roberto Soldic
-238 (70.4%)
Favorite
Khaos Williams
+195 (33.9%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Middleweight
TKO
Failed
28.7%
win prob 71.3%
Moneyline
+205
32.8% implied
Moneyline
-250
71.4% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Roman Kopylov
via TKO
Round 1, 3:12
DraftKings
Roman Kopylov
+205 (32.8%)
Underdog
Ateba Gautier
-250 (71.4%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Flyweight
TKO
Failed
38.4%
win prob 61.6%
Moneyline
-142
58.7% implied
Moneyline
+120
45.5% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Imanol Rodriguez
via TKO
Round 1, 3:11
DraftKings
Imanol Rodriguez
-142 (58.7%)
Favorite
Alden Coria
+120 (45.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Middleweight
TKO
Correct
65.3% win prob
34.7%
Moneyline
-550
84.6% implied
Moneyline
+410
19.6% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Damian Pinas
via TKO
Round 1, 1:15
DraftKings
Damian Pinas
-550 (84.6%)
Favorite
Andrey Pulyaev
+410 (19.6%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Featherweight
TKO
▲
Marcus McGhee
Prediction unavailable
Anthony Romero
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-500
83.3% implied
Moneyline
+380
20.8% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Marcus McGhee
via TKO
Round 1, 4:58
DraftKings
Marcus McGhee
-500 (83.3%)
Favorite
Anthony Romero
+380 (20.8%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Heavyweight
TKO
▲
Anthony Wint
Prediction unavailable
Lucas Armand
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-535
84.3% implied
Moneyline
+400
20.0% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Anthony Wint
via TKO
Round 1, 0:23
DraftKings
Anthony Wint
-535 (84.3%)
Favorite
Lucas Armand
+400 (20.0%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Heavyweight
TKO
Correct
63.5% win prob
36.5%
Moneyline
-120
54.5% implied
Moneyline
+100
50.0% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Johnny Walker
via TKO
Round 1, 3:35
DraftKings
Johnny Walker
-120 (54.5%)
Favorite
Mick Parkin
+100 (50.0%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Welterweight
TKO
▲
Jacobe Smith
Prediction unavailable
Bruce Whitehead
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-1000
90.9% implied
Moneyline
+650
13.3% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Jacobe Smith
via TKO
Round 1, 1:32
DraftKings
Jacobe Smith
-1000 (90.9%)
Favorite
Bruce Whitehead
+650 (13.3%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Lightweight
TKO
Correct
68.2% win prob
31.8%
Moneyline
-285
74.0% implied
Moneyline
+230
30.3% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Alexander Hernandez
via TKO
Round 2, 3:12
DraftKings
Alexander Hernandez
-285 (74.0%)
Favorite
Rafael Dos Anjos
+230 (30.3%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Middleweight
UD
Correct
58.5% win prob
41.5%
Moneyline
-142
58.7% implied
Moneyline
+120
45.5% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Ismail Naurdiev
via UD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Ismail Naurdiev
-142 (58.7%)
Favorite
Marvin Vettori
+120 (45.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Welterweight
TKO
Correct
50.5% win prob
49.5%
Moneyline
-225
69.2% implied
Moneyline
+185
35.1% implied
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Final Result
Eric Nolan
via TKO
Round 3, 3:26
DraftKings
Eric Nolan
-225 (69.2%)
Favorite
Court McGee
+185 (35.1%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Oct 2, 2026 9:42 AM ET
Main Event
Bantamweight
TKO
Failed
48.6%
win prob 51.4%
Moneyline
-155
60.8% implied
Moneyline
+130
43.5% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Raul Rosas Jr.
via TKO
Round 5, 1:38
DraftKings
Raul Rosas Jr.
-155 (60.8%)
Favorite
Raoni Barcelos
+130 (43.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Light Heavyweight
SUB
▲
Luis Hernandez
Prediction unavailable
Sedriques Dumas
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
-238
70.4% implied
Moneyline
+195
33.9% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Luis Hernandez
via SUB
Round 1, 0:57
DraftKings
Luis Hernandez
-238 (70.4%)
Favorite
Sedriques Dumas
+195 (33.9%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Bantamweight
DQ
▲
Ilimbek Akylbek
Prediction unavailable
Mahammadali Osmanli
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
+240
29.4% implied
Moneyline
-298
74.9% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Ilimbek Akylbek
via DQ
Round 1, 2:19
DraftKings
Ilimbek Akylbek
+240 (29.4%)
Underdog
Mahammadali Osmanli
-298 (74.9%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Bantamweight
SUB
Failed
34.1%
win prob 65.9%
Moneyline
+310
24.4% implied
Moneyline
-395
79.8% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Brady Hiestand
via SUB
Round 2, 4:07
DraftKings
Brady Hiestand
+310 (24.4%)
Underdog
Rinya Nakamura
-395 (79.8%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Middleweight
UD
Correct
51.3% win prob
48.7%
Moneyline
-162
61.8% implied
Moneyline
+136
42.4% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Rodolfo Vieira
via UD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Rodolfo Vieira
-162 (61.8%)
Favorite
Robert Bryczek
+136 (42.4%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Light Heavyweight
TKO
▲
Christian Edwards
Prediction unavailable
Rodolfo Bellato
Prediction unavailable
Prediction unavailable
Moneyline
+150
40.0% implied
Moneyline
-180
64.3% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Christian Edwards
via TKO
Round 3, 1:47
DraftKings
Christian Edwards
+150 (40.0%)
Underdog
Rodolfo Bellato
-180 (64.3%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Lightweight
TKO
Upset
61.2% win prob
38.8%
Moneyline
+102
49.5% implied
Moneyline
-122
55.0% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Elves Brener
via TKO
Round 1, 4:14
DraftKings
Elves Brener
+102 (49.5%)
Underdog
Josiah Harrell
-122 (55.0%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Bantamweight
TKO
Correct
73.6% win prob
26.4%
Moneyline
-218
68.6% implied
Moneyline
+180
35.7% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Montel Jackson
via TKO
Round 2, 2:39
DraftKings
Montel Jackson
-218 (68.6%)
Favorite
Ricky Simon
+180 (35.7%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Bantamweight
SD
Failed
23.1%
win prob 76.9%
Moneyline
+310
24.4% implied
Moneyline
-395
79.8% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Final Result
Alatengheili
via SD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Alatengheili
+310 (24.4%)
Underdog
John Castaneda
-395 (79.8%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 25, 2026 9:51 AM ET
Main Event
Flyweight
UD
Correct
82.9% win prob
17.1%
Moneyline
-135
57.4% implied
Moneyline
+114
46.7% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Joshua Van
via UD
Round 5, 5:00
DraftKings
Joshua Van
-135 (57.4%)
Favorite
Alexandre Pantoja
+114 (46.7%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Lightweight
TKO
Correct
63.8% win prob
36.2%
Moneyline
-298
74.9% implied
Moneyline
+240
29.4% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Arman Tsarukyan
via TKO
Round 1, 4:56
DraftKings
Arman Tsarukyan
-298 (74.9%)
Favorite
Mauricio Ruffy
+240 (29.4%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Featherweight
TKO
Failed
23.3%
win prob 76.7%
Moneyline
+215
31.7% implied
Moneyline
-265
72.6% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Patricio Pitbull
via TKO
Round 1, 3:28
DraftKings
Patricio Pitbull
+215 (31.7%)
Underdog
Dooho Choi
-265 (72.6%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Heavyweight
TKO
Failed
8.8%
win prob 91.2%
Moneyline
+1100
8.3% implied
Moneyline
-2100
95.5% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Sean Sharaf
via TKO
Round 1, 0:12
DraftKings
Sean Sharaf
+1100 (8.3%)
Underdog
Gable Steveson
-2100 (95.5%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Light Heavyweight
SD
Failed
35.2%
win prob 64.8%
Moneyline
+205
32.8% implied
Moneyline
-250
71.4% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Alonzo Menifield
via SD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Alonzo Menifield
+205 (32.8%)
Underdog
Iwo Baraniewski
-250 (71.4%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Bantamweight
TKO
Failed
30.5%
win prob 69.5%
Moneyline
+170
37.0% implied
Moneyline
-205
67.2% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Marlon Vera
via TKO
Round 3, 2:02
DraftKings
Marlon Vera
+170 (37.0%)
Underdog
Charles Jourdain
-205 (67.2%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Heavyweight
SD
Failed
46.6%
win prob 53.4%
Moneyline
-600
85.7% implied
Moneyline
+440
18.5% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Robelis Despaigne
via SD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Robelis Despaigne
-600 (85.7%)
Favorite
Tai Tuivasa
+440 (18.5%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Featherweight
SD
Upset
51.6% win prob
48.4%
Moneyline
+185
35.1% implied
Moneyline
-225
69.2% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Michael Aswell Jr.
via SD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Michael Aswell Jr.
+185 (35.1%)
Underdog
JooSang Yoo
-225 (69.2%)
Favorite
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Middleweight
TKO
Correct
65.9% win prob
34.1%
Moneyline
-550
84.6% implied
Moneyline
+410
19.6% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Ryan Gandra
via TKO
Round 1, 2:04
DraftKings
Ryan Gandra
-550 (84.6%)
Favorite
Ozzy Diaz
+410 (19.6%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Middleweight
UD
Correct
59.4% win prob
40.6%
Moneyline
-180
64.3% implied
Moneyline
+150
40.0% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Edmen Shahbazyan
via UD
Round 3, 5:00
DraftKings
Edmen Shahbazyan
-180 (64.3%)
Favorite
Brunno Ferreira
+150 (40.0%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Featherweight
TKO
Correct
60.7% win prob
39.3%
Moneyline
-410
80.4% implied
Moneyline
+320
23.8% implied
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Final Result
Joanderson Brito
via TKO
Round 1, 1:57
DraftKings
Joanderson Brito
-410 (80.4%)
Favorite
Giga Chikadze
+320 (23.8%)
Underdog
DraftKings as of Sep 18, 2026 9:43 AM ET
Model v6.1 · 37 features · Walk-forward 69.2% · Live 122/198 (61.6%) · ▲ = Winner